Arlington Analytics

Spending Growth and Real Estate Taxes

Last updated: March, 2021

Using county and school projections across key categories, we determine how much money would be needed in real estate taxes to balance the budget. We find that the county will need to raise about $250 million in real estate tax revenue by 2031, $100 million of which will come from Arlington homeowners. We use historical assessment rates to determine how the increase in real estate taxes will be distributed among different types of Arlington homeowners.

Data

Easily accessible, visible data on county data including:

• Budgets, Assets, and Liabilities
• Schools
• Maps
• Capital Improvement Plans (CIP)
• and more...

Highlighted Policy Paper: Equity in Arlington County Open Public Spaces

Last updated: February, 2021

The Arlington County Civic Federation Parks and Recreation Committee researched equity in access to open public spaces within walking distance and tree canopy in close proximity. Using mapping data, census data, school data, and property data, the committee estimated access that residents have to these resource by residence type, income, and race. Note: we updated the projections for the maps; the qualitative results did not change, however, quantiative values did shift.

Policy Apps

Tools based on the Arlington Analytics' Model of Arlington: a large-scale analytical tool based on current property data, approved and anticipated building plans, school enrollment, census data, and more. The apps here are web-friendly versions of the most important parts of our analytical tools.

Highlighted Policy Paper: The Towns of 24th

Last updated: November, 2020

We analyze the effects development of the Towns of 24th, a set of eight townhouses that are replacing two detached single family homes in the Green Valley neighborhood. We examine both the budgetary effects and the environmental effects of this development. We use tools developed in part by the U.S. Forestry Service to approximate the benefits lost as neighboring trees are impacted by the development.

Visualizations

Learn about where students are located, which languages are spoken, population densities, assessments per student, and much more about Arlington County using interactive maps.

Highlighted Policy Paper: Arlington Duplexes and the Missing Middle

Last updated: July, 2020

We analyze proposals that aspire to increase the number of affordable houses by increasing density and allowing construction of duplexes in neighborhoods currently restricted to detached single family. We find that land and property values are simply too high in Arlington to make these proposals an effective tool to address the shortage of "missing middle" residences.

About

Information on the sources of data, methods, differences between our statistics and the official statistics, and us.

Additional Research

Our original policy and research papers along with links to important reports and data sources.